Spring 2024, an update, and at the end a technical question for the floor.
Over winter I noted that the occasional "all lights on the dash and loss of throttle body control" incident described above would happen on a properly cold morning after starting up that seemed to tally with hypothesized low voltage, possibly indicative that the 90A alternator on the AUA isn't now churning out enough sparks to keep the battery fully charged in winter with daily short commutes. I have a 110A alternator from an FSi ready to go for refurb at a place recommended by
@depronman to replace this with some time this spring. So in addition to the 60W incandescent lightbulbs keeping the windows thawed overnight I've had the CTEK permanently in the car giving a battery top up every few nights, with the result that starting the car is always instant and there hasn't been a single warning light panic all winter. Without CTEK, voltage (without load) around 13.2-13.5 with engine/alternator running which is a bit off the 14.something I see in my Tdis with refurbed 140A alternators.
Most days I go out and idle the car for enough time without load (3-5 minutes) for the engine to settle down to a steady idle around 900-950rpm while getting the windows cleared - still not fully warmed up, but not stone cold "choke fully out" fuelling that can cause the car to be a bit all-or-nothing low down for the first minute's driving (which my other half doesn't like on her commute!).
Couple of times recently in the minute before switching off (coolant temp approaching 50˚C according to reader), I'd noticed the idle becoming very slightly lumpy but nothing special. Yesterday this went a step further - flashing engine light came on and the idle went distinctly 3-cylindered. Reader said that cylinder 1 was misfiring. Reset the error code and restarted with the misfire readings page open. Smooth to begin with but with cylinder 1 (only)'s misfire count running like a stopwatch right from startup until it hit the cut-off count and switched to 3 cylinders again. Reset, switched off, switched on. Cylinder 1 misfire count running - whereupon after a couple of seconds I increased the revs to 1500 or so - the faint trembling stopped, and the #1 misfire count stopped, zeroed itself after a few seconds and never came back.
So. Intermittent cylinder 1 misfire, only after the engine has partially warmed up, only on the idle and goes away providing there are some revs.
Earth of some description - perhaps related to cylinder 1 itself or its injector? Crankshaft sensor relating to misfire count messing things up? Any thoughts?
I've not yet had the bonnet off to check the spark plug cords for any damage; as described in thread above, plugs, cords, coil, injectors, lambda, kitchen sink all replaced over the course of the last 4 years / 20,000 miles with quality parts and are generally in good nick as far as I can tell, which is why I'm thinking about things I haven't touched so far. Starter earthing point was cleaned a couple of years ago, and the starting is itself fine.